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Raleigh’s summer weather forecast

Prepare for summer weather in Raleigh, NC with these seasonal temperature and precipitation outlooks for June, July, and August 2023.

Raleigh's downtown skyline

Summer is on the way, weather you like it or not.

We know the question on your mind, Raleighites — when’s it going to get hot? What will summer weather bring?

Thanks to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center, we know what temperatures and precipitation trends to expect in our city for June, July, and August.

While exact weather conditions typically can’t be predicted more than a week in advance, here’s a seasonal outlook to help you prepare for what summer will bring.

Reminder: The first day of summer is Wednesday, June 21.

A seasonal weather outlook map of Raleigh from June-August 2023.

Don’t be surprised if summer temps reach the triple digits.

Map via the NOAA


Think hot. This summer, Raleigh has a 50-60% chance of temperatures being higher than normal.


Expect slightly more precipitation. Raleigh has a 33-40% chance of seeing higher than average rainfall amounts this summer.


Temperatures typically fluctuate between an average low of 65° and an average high of 86° in June, but expect to see more of those near-90° days this year.

Pro tip: June and July have an average daily maximum UV index of 7 (the highest of the year), so don’t slack on the sunscreen when you’re exploring one of Raleigh’s beautiful parks or hiking trails.


In July, the average high and low temps are between 69° and 89° — with a greater change of high temps this year. Read: Temperatures could reach triple digits.

Keep your umbrellas handy, because July is the most rainy summer month. On average, there’s 4.5 inches of precipitation. Keep busy with these 20 things to do when it’s raining in Raleigh.


Historically, average highs in August don’t change much from July, with an average low of 68° and average high of 87°. Temperatures likely won’t significantly cool until October, so keep this list of local watering holes handy.

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