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Raleigh’s summer weather forecast

Prepare for summer weather in Raleigh, NC with these seasonal temperature and precipitation outlooks for June, July, and August 2025.

RAL_DixParkFourthofJuly_MAY2025

We’re anticipating another hot one in Oak City.

Photo by RALtoday

Raleighites — is it just us, or is the summer heat on your mind too?

Through the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center, we know what temperatures and precipitation trends to expect in our city for June, July, and August.

Although precise weather conditions cannot be predicted more than a week in advance, we can get close predictions. Here’s a seasonal overview to help you prepare for what summer has up its sleeve.

By the way, the first day of summer is Friday, June 20.

A map detailing the National Weather Service's seasonal temperature outlook for summer 2025.

Take a peek at what summer 2025 has in store for the US.

Graphic by the National Weather Service

Temperature

Coming in hot. This summer, Raleigh has a 40-50% chance of temperatures being higher than normal.

Precipitation

Expect slightly more precipitation. Raleigh has a 40-50% chance of receiving higher than average rainfall amounts this summer.

June

Temperatures typically fluctuate between an average low of 65° and an average high of 86° in June, but expect to see more of those near-90° days this year.

Pro tip: June and July have an average daily maximum UV index of 7 (the highest of the year), so don’t slack on the sunscreen when you’re exploring one of Raleigh’s beautiful parks or hiking trails.

July

In July, the average high and low temps are between 69° and 89° — with a greater change of high temps this year. Read: Temperatures could reach triple digits.

Keep your umbrellas handy because July is the rainiest summer month. On average, there’s 4.5 inches of precipitation. Keep busy with over 20 things to do when it’s raining in Raleigh.

August

Historically, average highs in August don’t change much from July, with an average low of 68° and average high of 87°. Temperatures likely won’t significantly cool until October, so keep this list of local watering holes handy.

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