We know the question on your mind, Raleighites — when’s it going to get cool? Thanks to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center, we know what temperatures and precipitation trends to expect in our city for September, October, and November. While exact weather conditions typically can’t be predicted more than a week in advance, here’s a seasonal outlook to help you prepare for what fall will bring.
Reminder: The first day of fall is on Thurs., Sept. 22.
Think warm. This fall, Raleigh has a 40-50% chance of temperatures being higher than normal.
Expect average precipitation. Our city is predicted to experience ordinary rainfall amounts (~2.54 inches on average each fall month) for the season.
What September has in store
Typically in Raleigh, September’s temperatures fluctuate between an average low of 64.4° and an average high of 81.7°, but expect to see more of those near-80° days this year. If you aren’t a fan of the heat, we have some good news: The average high will drop ~5.6° in September. Pro tip: September has an average daily maximum UV index of 5, so don’t slack on the sunscreen.
Onward with October
In October, the average high and low temps are between 70.9° + 53.6°. There isn’t much rainfall, so plan for warm, clear days, perfect for strolling through Moore Square with a Pumpkin King Cold Brew from Sir Walter’s in hand. Did you know? October is the driest month in Raleigh. On average, there’s only 2.13 inches of precipitation during the spooky season.
Next up, November
Historically, average highs in November drop ~10° to 59.7°, with an average low of 42.8°. It’s also typically the first month past summer to see any snowfall — but with a greater change of high temps this year, that might not happen. Bonus: November is one of the least humid months in Raleigh. We’re already sighing with relief.